Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction

All you CEO’s out there, do you want to know a great trick to see if your CIO/CTO is worth anything?  Look for a copy of Gartner in their office and see if any of their recommendations have blindly come from Gartner.  If so, fire them immediately.  For the life of me I have spent a lot of cycles trying to figure out why anyone in their right mind considers Gartner the bible of technology in corporate America.  Gartner has been wrong so many times over it’s sickening.  Let me tell you what Gartner is.  Gartner is a bunch of elitist wannabe geeks with MBA’s that look at technology from the dillusion prism of the technological equivalent of social justice, not free market principles.  Free market principles dictate ‘may the best product win’ with the definition of ‘best product’ being determined by the best ROI (return on investment) for business and thus the largest sales.  Gartner instead looks at technology in the work place with the mindset of ‘we don’t like this product, we much prefer this product so we’re going to try to shape everyone’s opinion to determine the outcome, the free market be damned.’  Well guess what Gartner, the free market will always win.  You might have some influence with the brain dead zombies who don’t understand the departments they are over but eventually high costs and inefficiency always weed them out.  Today Gartner is setting another great example of their irrelevance and will continue to degrade their credibility;

http://www.informationweek.com/news/security/reviews/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=227700245

Here is a quote from the article;

“Gartner predicts the release of Windows Phone 7 will help bump Microsoft's share of the worldwide market from 4.7% in 2010 to 5.2% in 2011, but says the company's share will ultimately decline to just 3.9% by 2014. “

While I agree that in 2011 Windows Phone 7’s market share won’t jump tremendously (they have a lot of negative press to overcome) they are absolutely smoking a 5 horse power bong and doing insane amounts of crack cocaine while injecting heroine into their eyes to come up with this absolutely stupid estimation that by 2014 MS market share in the mobile market will be 3.9%.  Quite frankly this outright bigotry is insulting to the intelligence of anyone with an independent thought who knows anything about technology.

So I’m calling you out Gartner.  You’re about as trustworthy as the National Enquirer with the half alien wolf baby on the cover.  I’ll make you a deal Gartner, if your prediction is true I’ll stop blogging but if you’re wrong you need to come clean to all the mindless zombies out there and stop leading them to career slaughter.

This is just yet another example that I referred to in my previous post here.

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Posted Oct 06 2010, 10:08 PM by Matt Freestone

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Comments

Dave wrote re: Gartner once again proving it’s irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-07-2010 6:55 AM

Please, Matt, learn to use the apostrophe correctly! "It's" is a contraction of "it is". This is a grade-school mistake and you've made it in the headline of all places, both here and in the previous post.

Matt Freestone wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-07-2010 9:40 AM

Wow Dave, can you explain to me why the improper use of an apostraphe is so offensive?  I fixed it simply because it was a mistake and I have no problem admitting when I'm wrong.  I just have to ask why is such an innocent mistake so personally offensive and prevent you from even commenting on the entire purpose and subject of the post?

Chris wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-07-2010 2:44 PM

Except that the free market is driven by consumer perception of "the best product" - that becomes the one with best ROI.

Also, though you went on a great screed about how Gartner's estimates are wrong, could you actually go through and explain where their models and assumptions fail? "Because you think it's wrong" and "because they've been wrong before" are not valid counterarguments.

Matt Freestone wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-07-2010 2:48 PM

When I have the time, I will go through and explain how they are wrong.  Here's the difference though.  I am not paid obscene amounts of money and regarded as a financial analyst in my assumption that they are wrong.  They are.  What you should be asking is for Gartner to backup their assumptions.

Chris wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-07-2010 3:14 PM

Of course, I would ask Gartner to back up its assumptions. The difference is that presumably they came up with their models before presenting their results. You've published your results without any indication of having gone through their, or your, models.

I would say, though, that anyone publishing his or her statements of probability or fact should be held to the same standard of evidence. The fact that you are not paid "obscene amounts of money" does not absolve you of that burden, though it probably gives you less leisure time to build your case.

Jm wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-07-2010 10:38 PM

what kills me is that you guy back gartner up and bust matts chops about what he post. why are you here if you don't share the same feelings huh? I think the guy is a big ass *** along with everyone else that craps on ms. I am starting to think thees guys are doing this only because they put stock in ms competitors and they don't want to see them loos.

Frank Miller wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 10-21-2010 3:20 PM

Anyone that thinks they can predict the smart phone market share in 2014 in a product space this volatile is crazy.  Agree about the burden of predictive models but 4 years ago there wasn't even an iPhone.

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on 10-28-2010 9:45 AM

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windowsconnected.com wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 03-30-2011 2:55 PM

Gartner once again proving it s irrelevance with idiotic windows phone 7 prediction.. Reposted it :)

ed hardy wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 04-07-2011 3:51 AM

Anyone that thinks they can predict the smart phone market share in 2014 in a product space this volatile is crazy.  Agree about the burden of predictive models but 4 years ago there wasn't even an iPhone.

windowsconnected.com wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 04-22-2011 5:43 AM

Gartner once again proving it s irrelevance with idiotic windows phone 7 prediction.. Super :)

windowsconnected.com wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 06-02-2011 4:35 PM

Gartner once again proving it s irrelevance with idiotic windows phone 7 prediction.. Huh, really? :)

windowsconnected.com wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 06-04-2011 4:56 PM

Gartner once again proving it s irrelevance with idiotic windows phone 7 prediction.. Corking :)

h8bm pon videos tpof wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 07-01-2011 10:40 PM

Gartner once again proving it s irrelevance with idiotic windows phone 7 prediction.. Tiptop :)

Jeanette wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 11-16-2011 10:06 AM

Boy that relaly helps me the heck out.

Forever wrote re: Gartner once again proving its irrelevance with idiotic Windows Phone 7 prediction
on 11-19-2011 11:33 AM

I have been so bweildreed in the past but now it all makes sense!

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